Retail
Reframed
People sitting on couches having a discussion
May 2026

Retail Reframed challenges conventional wisdom, refocuses the usual premise and asks unvarnished, thought-provoking questions about issues that drive opportunity.

In this issue
 
  • Dynamic Impact: Why We Love Retail
  • Retail‘s Resurgence: Where Is the Smart Money Going Now?
  • Mallmaxxing and the Third Place: Retail’s Belonging Economy
  • The Customer Journey: Why the Store Is Still Winning the Battle
  • Last Touch: The Evolving Frontier of Logistics

Dynamic Impact: Why We Love Retail

It may sound corny, but let’s just say it: We love retail. And for good reason. It may look like a smaller piece of the real estate landscape, but the stats tell another story. Retailers make up most of the top U.S. real estate occupiers — 72% of the top 25 and 52% of the top 50, according to CBRE data. 

Small wonder real estate gets so much attention from the retail C-suite. In most industries, real estate is important, but it’s rarely a consistent CEO-level priority. Retail is different. For retailers, real estate isn’t overhead. It’s an impression, acquisition or revenue portal. It’s how they grow, how they compete and how they win. That difference makes retailers highly sophisticated real estate decision-makers and, frankly, among the most discerning clients to serve. High standards make for better partnerships and better outcomes.

Retail is at the heart of our communities. It makes a visible, tangible imprint on the places we call home. It’s also why Retail is the one line of business that touches every other line of business and every service type that we offer, from capital markets, leasing, supply chain, property and project management to data centers and beyond. Retail’s breadth demands real investment, real expertise and a genuine commitment to excellence. CBRE has made that commitment — deliberately and visibly, with continued investment across every retail business line. We haven’t pulled back, we’ve leaned in. We’re committed to guiding the future of retail with smart real estate strategies. And we’re loving it. While we typically keep away from these kinds of statements in Retail Reframed, this felt important to us to say and say now.

No better place to feel that energy than ICSC Las Vegas in May. If you’re heading to Las Vegas, come find us. We’ll be the ones who can’t stop talking about … retail. 
Retail's Resurgence: Where is the Smart Money Going Now?

For years, retail real estate was written off. Well, the money is back: U.S. retail property sales rose 26% to $71.6 billion in 2025 — well above the long-term annual average. Institutional bid volume has risen 102% over the past two years, and REIT bid volume is up 117%, the highest level of activity from either group since 2016. Institutional investors that weren’t touching retail a few years ago are now competing in categories like unanchored strip centers, once strictly private-capital territory. CBRE’s 2026 North American Investor Intentions Survey found that retail was one of the top targets for commercial real estate investors in 2026 (after multifamily and industrial), as noted by 27% of respondents. 

The asset class institutional capital spent a decade avoiding is now the one everyone wants, and last month, our own investment management arm put capital behind that conviction. CBRE Investment Management closed on a seven-property portfolio across five states, in a joint venture with MCB Real Estate. The portfolio, totaling about 1.1 million square feet, is anchored by grocers — HEB, Kroger, Harris Teeter, The Fresh Market and Safeway. That kind of deal wouldn’t have happened five years ago.

Why now? The fundamentals are hard to argue with. New supply has hit historical lows. Occupancy is still tight. Rent growth remains positive, especially at grocery-anchored centers and well-located open-air properties. CBRE IM’s own portfolio manager put it directly: "New retail supply has been structurally constrained since the GFC, and grocery-anchored centers combine that scarcity with daily-needs tenancy that holds up across cycles."

According to J.P. Morgan, we’re seeing the strongest shopping center valuations in a decade. But here’s the contrarian question worth asking at ICSC in Las Vegas: Is this the beginning of a multiyear run, or are we already in the middle innings?

The case for early innings: Sidelined capital is still returning to the market, and the weight of dry powder presents genuine upside risk to forecasts. The case for later innings: Cap rate compression is already underway. Best-in-class grocery-anchored centers in top markets are trading between 5.25% and 5.5%. Competition for quality product is fierce. As one investment sales executive put it, "If it's a clean deal, it’s got a lot of competition."
The Customer Journey: Why the Store Is Still Winning the Battle

Social, retail media and search are all racing to own the path from discovery to purchase. The funnel, we've been told, is collapsing. But what if it isn't? Here's why the store may be the only constant no platform can replace. Start with discovery. Among Gen Z, 73% say social media is their primary source for learning about new products, and platforms are no longer content being just an inspiration channel. They want to own consideration and conversion too. This year U.S. social commerce sales are expected to hit $100 billion, and TikTok Shop alone is projected to generate $87 billion in GMV.

Retail media networks are making the same push, expanding from sponsored search into CTV, streaming and off-site, using first-party data to chase shoppers up the funnel. U.S. retail media ad spend is projected to approach $70 billion in 2026, growing faster than the overall digital ad market. The question isn't whether to be in retail media. It's whether RMNs can earn the upper-funnel budget they want.

Every major platform is building toward an instant path from discovery to purchase. But consumer behavior may be moving in the opposite direction — from TikTok to ChatGPT to in-store and back again. That's not a compressed funnel. That's a longer, messier, multi-touchpoint journey no single platform owns. And at the center of every version of that journey is a physical address.

So who owns the customer journey funnel? For real estate, that's the central question of the decade. Every dollar flowing into social commerce and retail media is ultimately chasing the same consumer — and that consumer still ends up in a store. The physical location isn't the end of the funnel. It's an irreplaceable touchpoint in the client journey. Location, design and experience are not a real estate decisions; they're media decisions. Landlords and retailers who understand that are investing accordingly. Those who don't are waiting on a funnel that may never deliver customers the way it promised.
Mallmaxxing and the Third Place: Retail’s Belonging Economy

The concept of the "third place" — the social space between home and work — has been quietly reshaping retail for years. Sociologist Ray Oldenburg coined the term in 1989, but the version that exists today looks nothing like what he described. People aren’t seeking third places to escape work anymore. They‘re bringing work with them, drawn by the ambient comfort of being around other people. The draw is less about amenity and more about belonging.

Retailers are responding, whether they realize it or not. Lululemon’s run clubs and community events have nothing to do with selling leggings and everything to do with giving people somewhere to belong. REI’s in-store workshops and Apple’s Today at Apple programming have quietly made their stores among the most-visited venues in many cities. These aren’t marketing stunts. They’re a bet that the store can be somewhere people want to be, not just somewhere they have to go. Nearly half of new tenants in major shopping centers are now experiential or service-based — fitness studios, entertainment venues, coworking spaces — a clear signal that landlords are making the same bet.

Enter Gen Z — and mallmaxxing. The TikTok-fueled trend of teens treating the mall as a full-day social destination is the latest proof that retail’s obituary was written too soon. There’s a cultural undercurrent here too: Gen Z has adopted ‘90s aesthetics, references and nostalgia as their own. And the mall, that quintessential ‘90s social institution, fits right in. According to Circana, shoppers age 18 to 24 made 62% of their general merchandise purchases in stores last year, outpacing older cohorts. Gen Z’s share of mall foot traffic rose 57% year over year, PwC reports. And with Gen Z spending projected to reach $12 trillion annually by 2030, this isn’t a blip. It’s a buying force.

But mallmaxxing isn’t really about shopping. It’s about belonging, which is exactly what the third-place thesis predicts. Three-quarters of 18-to-24-year-olds say "third spaces" inside malls influence where they choose to shop. The mall that wins Gen Z isn’t the one with the best anchor tenant. It’s the one that gives them somewhere to be — cafés, lounges, social areas.

So what? NRF notes that multisensory, community-driven destinations are generating real traffic — and real loyalty. The retailers and landlords that understand they’re in the belonging business, not just the transaction business, are the ones earning a permanent place in their customers’ routines. Space that doesn’t transact isn’t wasted; it might be exactly what draws Gen Z.

The catch: This rising tide isn’t lifting all boats. Top-tier malls in high-income suburbs are capturing this energy; lower-tier enclosed malls are not. Mallmaxxing sharpens an already widening divide. And for landlords, knowing which side of it you’re on has never mattered more.
Last Touch: The Evolving Frontier of Logistics

Just like the retail scene, the industrial real estate landscape is in a state of continuous evolution. Value is increasingly defined by proximity to the consumer, with "last-touch" logistics driving decisions. John Kirkman, who leads CBRE's supply chain and logistics services, has lived on both sides of that equation, first at Nike, now as a real estate advisor at CBRE. He shared his thoughts on a recent SupplyChainBrain podcast.

"Last touch" isn't a new buzzword. It's the fusion of "last mile" and "customer experience" into something more strategic. Last mile is a logistics equation: speed, scheduling, cost — a washer and dryer arriving on time. Last touch is a brand consideration. It's stocking the toothpaste near an urban hub so it can be delivered in a window that fits the customer's day, in a way that feels not incidental but intentional — a distinction that matters more than ever.

Nor is last touch a new concept. White-glove delivery has existed for decades. What's new is the expectation that every category deserves it. Consumer patience for friction has essentially hit zero. Same-day delivery, seamless returns and real-time tracking are now table stakes. Retailers who treat the final handoff as an afterthought are leaving loyalty on the table.

The real estate implications are significant. The playbook is being rewritten around not just how efficiently a facility moves goods but how close it sits to the end customer. Think urban infill locations, repurposed retail footprints, mixed-use assets doubling as micro-fulfillment nodes.

Retailers who invest in last touch are doing more than improving delivery. They're building a competitive edge. In a market where product parity is the norm, the experience of receiving something can be as powerful as the thing itself. Again, that's no longer logistics. That's brand.
 
Read On
Recent readings with insights on and beyond commercial real estate
What we're hearing

America's AI boom is short of electricians.

Who's building the future? Ford CEO Jim Farley is sounding the alarm on America's "essential economy." The $12 trillion blue-collar sector is short of workers — workers now needed to build the AI infrastructure. Goldman Sachs has the data to back him up: The AI infrastructure build-out alone will require 500,000 new electricians and construction workers the country doesn't have. But change could be coming. A new partnership between Meta Platforms and CBRE aims to recruit and train thousands of technicians to build Meta's U.S. data centers. Will more such programs follow?
 
The ATM didn't tank teller jobs. That was the iPhone.
 
Automation doesn't always eliminate jobs. Sometimes it just moves them. The story of ATMs and bank tellers is the most important case study retail hasn't learned from — yet.

Pizza Hut Classics are doing the time warp.

The red-vinyl booths. The salad bars. The checkered tablecloths. A quiet network of 144 restored Pizza Hut Classic locations has become a cult phenomenon, drawing visitors who drive hours for a taste of the 1980s. Yum Brands doesn't officially promote them, but nostalgia is doing the marketing just fine.

Luxury resales are flourishing. What does that mean for brands?

The secondhand luxury market hit €50 billion last year, growing faster than primary sales. Yet most brands remain paralyzed, too uncomfortable to fully embrace resale, too exposed to ignore it. Rolex's certified preowned program may offer a template for how to take back control. Amid skyrocketing prices, luxury brands are exploring their options for balancing market share and cache.

The creator economy just became retail's most powerful sales channel.

Around 73% of Gen Z are discovering products on social media. And 61% of consumers trust creator recommendations over traditional advertising. What does that mean? The creator economy isn't a marketing channel anymore. It's the store.
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